With Tony Watson’s struggles as the season progresses, the answers aren’t so elementary
The Pirates have an unusual philosophy when it comes to relief pitchers, particularly closers: They don’t seem to keep them around very long.
At last seasonĢƵ trade deadline, general manager Neal Huntington parted with then-closer Mark Melancon, trading him to Washington for Felipe Rivero and a pitching prospect. The move might have been considered shocking for a team that was still in the running to part with their best reliever.
But for the Pirates, it was just the latest in a series of similar moves. They had traded Jason Grilli in 2014 and Joel Hanrahan in 2012, and it had seemed that the writing had been on the wall for Melancon all season.
Part of that involved the strong play of set-up man Tony Watson. Watson, now 31, has been one of the most reliable eighth-inning relievers in all of baseball over the last two seasons. His career WHIP — walks and hits per inning pitched — is just 1.035 and heĢƵ struck out 3.22 batters for every one heĢƵ walked in his six MLB seasons.
The move brought Rivero to the Pirates, who will likely replace Watson in the eighth inning this season, and the Nationals neither won with or were able to keep Melancon, who signed a $62 million contract with the San Francisco Giants in the off-season.
So the Pirates will roll the dice with Watson, and itĢƵ easy to see why based on his overall numbers, but his two-month audition at closer at the end of last season didn’t go all that smoothly. He converted 15 saves, but blew three with a 3.86 ERA.
ThereĢƵ more to WatsonĢƵ tough August and September than the position change. HeĢƵ been one of baseballĢƵ most-used relievers the last few years, appearing in over 70 games in each of the last three seasons. That appears to be taking a toll as the season progresses.
In April 2015, his max fastball velocity was 96.98 mph, according to Brooks Baseball. By the end of that season, it was down to 95.59. The next year, it trickled from 96.75 early in the season to 95.41 by the end. The decrease in velocity has combined with an increase number of “grooved” pitches, pitches that are thrown in the middle section of the plate both vertically and horizontally. The combination suggests that the wear of pitching over 70 innings per year has been getting to Watson.
If for whatever reason he doesn’t work out as the teamĢƵ closer, thereĢƵ little in the way of experienced depth behind him. Rivero was excellent after coming over from the Nationals and will likely be the set-up man, but Neftali Feliz was lost in free agency, leaving Juan Nicasio and Antonio Bastardo to fill in the bullpen.
The group doesn’t have an impressive resume. ThatĢƵ been the hallmark of HuntingtonĢƵ bullpens with the Pirates. Grilli was plucked from the minor leagues. Hanrahan and Melancon were seemingly throw-ins as parts of bigger trades. ItĢƵ likely that the Pirates’ next bullpen star will come from humble beginnings, as well.
ThatĢƵ someone that might need to be found sooner rather than later, too. Watson and the team are going to arbitration over his salary for 2017 and is eligible to be a free agent following the season. If HuntingtonĢƵ paradigm holds true, he may be looking for another closer shortly.